All Widgets | From the briefing: The $14 Billion Hallucination
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The Confidence Lineage Audit

0.94 confidence. Eleven sources. Six of them were the model.

A financial AI called ATLAS-FX produced a 0.94-confidence signal that triggered a $14B reallocation. Eleven sources corroborated. Six of them were downstream of the model's own prior outputs, ingested back through vendor data products that had been retraining on syndicated AI commentary. Tag each source and watch the displayed confidence collapse to what the audit should have shown. The full scenario lives in The $14 Billion Hallucination.
Interactive Widget · Confidence Lineage Audit
The Confidence Lineage Audit
Tag each source. Watch the displayed confidence collapse to its true independent value.
ATLAS-FX Signal · 04:11 UTC
"73 bps sovereign-spread blowout in mid-cap European peripheral debt, 8–12 week horizon. Recommend $14B reallocation out of EU sovereign-adjacent credit."
Confidence: 0.94 Corroborating sources: 11 Auto-approval threshold: 0.92
Click each source to inspect its provenance. Tag it as independent or contaminated. The corrected confidence number recalculates as you go.
Displayed Confidence
0.94
what the model reported
True Independent Confidence
—
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